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Google This: The Dow Is Chopped |
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Alphabet is finally joining the Dow, but you still shouldn’t use the blue-chip index as a market benchmark. |
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Google’s parent company will replace Verizon in the Dow before the market opens on June 29. The move could go a long way toward helping bring the second-oldest U.S. market index into the 21st century. Nvidia joined in 2024; Amazon.com, Microsoft and Apple are also members. |
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But adding Alphabet won’t save the Dow from its other shortcomings, and the blue-chip index’s enduring popularity continues to confound me. Call me a Dow hater, if you must. |
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I understand the appeal in the 19th century. But these days, there are so many other better options out there. The S&P 500 offers a broader range of stocks, while the Nasdaq 100 gives a better idea of the largest tech stocks. Other smaller indexes and ETFs can give investors a sense of what’s happening in any given part of the market. |
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The Dow only includes 30 blue-chip stocks and weighs its members by share price, rather than market cap. That strategy has a lot of downsides. A company’s stock price is meaningless compared to its market cap, and it’s a metric that can’t be compared between companies. In practice, that means that the Dow is heavily swayed by members with higher prices, like Goldman Sachs and Caterpillar. While larger stocks overwhelm the S&P 500, at least companies like Nvidia and Apple have the market value to back up that status. |
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Of course, not everyone agrees with me. Frank Cappelleri, founder of technical analysis firm CappThesis, gave me a compelling case for the Dow. He says: |
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While the DJIA holds just 30 stocks and uses a price-weighted methodology, it is still a good gauge of the broader market because its “blue-chip” makeup keeps sector exposure relatively balanced. Technology, Healthcare, and Industrials each account for roughly 15–20%, with Financials currently being the heaviest at around 28%. (It also has ZERO exposure to Materials, Real Estate or Utilities.) While it’s not perfect, the biggest advantage is that a single sector rarely dominates the index. |
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Cappelleri also pointed out that despite their different constructions, the RSP ETF and the Dow often arrive at very similar results. If you’re looking to filter out the worst of Big Tech influences, the Dow does accomplish that. |
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For me, it’s hard to look past the influence Caterpillar has on this index though. So at the risk of embarrassing myself with Gen-Z slang, I’ll stand my ground: The Dow is chopped!
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The Calendar |
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Darden Restaurants, FedEx Freight, and McCormick report earnings tomorrow. |
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The Bureau of Economic Analysis releases the personal consumption expenditures price index for May. The headline PCE rose at a 3.8% annual rate in April. The core PCE, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise at a 0.4% monthly rate, compared to 0.2% in April. |
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The Census Bureau releases the durable goods report for May. Consensus estimate is for an 0.8% month-over-month rise in new orders for manufactured durable goods. |
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What We’re Reading Today |
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Barron’s Live returns on Monday. Barron’s Live features timely and actionable insights for investors. We give you behind-the-scenes conversations with the newsroom, connecting you with our editors and reporters covering the markets, the economy, and more. |
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