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by Menaka Doshi

Welcome to India Edition, I’m Menaka Doshi. Join me each week for a ringside view of the billionaires, businesses and policy decisions behind India’s rise as an emerging economic powerhouse.

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This week: Disrupting health care, sowing season surges and sshhh — the dragon and the elephant are talking.

Will Amazon Draw Blood?

From Tata, Ambani and Reddy to Schwarzman and now Bezos – never before have so many billionaires been so invested in my well-being.

Two national diagnostic chains recently opened shop in my neighborhood, not far from a local clinic I’ve done business with for years. Also in the mix are half a dozen large digital health-care platforms, flush with cash from major league investors like Temasek, bombarding me with daily wellness messages.

Now Amazon has entered this over-$16 billion market. 

This week, the American e-commerce giant launched at-home diagnostic services in six Indian cities, in partnership with Orange Health Labs, a company co-funded by Amazon’s venture arm. Though Amazon is investing in health care across the US, Europe and Asia, diagnostics is launching first in India.

India’s health-care market is a multidecade structural opportunity, according to Jayaramakrishnan Balasubramanian, category head, Amazon Medical, India. The diagnostics service targets “a huge movement of customers rethinking healthcare from an episodic illness to overall wellness,” he said to me over email. It completes the “trifecta of digital health,” he added.

Amazon Medical now offers nationwide delivery of medicines, doctor consultations and health tests via the Amazon app, making all health records available in one place. This level of integration and convenience can be a game changer, Balasubramanian said.

Investors seem to think so too. The launch sent shares of Indian diagnostic companies lower on fears of heightened competition. 

But disrupting health-care services isn’t easy. Amazon has floundered even in its home market where it reorganized the business and laid off hundreds of employees this year. In India too, the deep-pocketed behemoth with ready access to tens of millions of customers, will face tough challenges.

Diagnostics services have already been through a few transformations.

A fragmented market is being consolidated by the rise of national and regional chains. They’ve invested in automation and delivery resulting in lower prices, home services and often same-day test results.

Besides, reputed health-care brands like Apollo 24/7 and digital pharmacies like Tata 1mg, Netmeds and PharmEasy already offer integrated services, including financing and insurance. Profits, though, have been elusive for many.

Amazon’s nationwide e-commerce infrastructure will make it difficult to beat in medicine delivery, said A Velumani, founder of leading lab chain Thyrocare, which was acquired by PharmEasy in 2021. But to win in diagnostics will require a multibillion-dollar investment in clinics and technology and national scale, he said. 

Curiously, Amazon has partnered with a relatively small lab chain.

That will slow its market access. Wellness check-ups are just 10% of the diagnostics market. The rest is illness-related, where local doctors play an important role as an influencer in deciding what results they trust, said Ameera Shah, chairperson of Metropolis Healthcare, among India’s largest diagnostic chains. “Orange Health has to earn trust from doctors and that’s not a matter of money, it’s a matter of time,” Shah said.

Balasubramanian didn’t say if Amazon will fund Orange Health to supersize its operations quickly. Or if it will consider more lab partners. He also didn’t share any timeline for a national roll-out. But my checks suggests Amazon-Orange has launched with 10% to 15% lower prices for common tests. 

The fight for India’s health-care services market just got more interesting.

Best of Bloomberg

It’s been a good week for President Trump. The Israel-Iran ceasefire has held, though both countries have claimed wins.

Meanwhile, European leaders have conceded to Trump’s demand by agreeing to raise defense spending at this week’s NATO meeting. 

Now the focus shifts to pending trade deals as the July 9 tariff deadline looms.

In India, the National Stock Exchange is clearing a path to its IPO by offering a record amount to settle past cases with the regulator. 

Surprise, surprise — billionaires Mukesh Ambani and Gautam Adani have struck a second partnership.

And in the aftermath of the Air India crash the aviation safety regulator found multiple maintenance lapses in airlines and airports.

Keep Reading:

By the Numbers: Kharif Crop Outlook

58%
The area allocated to monsoon-sown rice crops has surged 58% from a year earlier. The sowing of pulses is also up significantly.

Second Lead: India-China Rapprochement?

There seems to be a thaw between India and China that bodes well for business in the world’s two most populous countries.

India’s Defense Minister Rajnath Singh and National Security Adviser Ajit Doval are in China for separate meetings of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization. The two officials are likely laying the groundwork for a potential visit by Prime Minister Narendra Modi to the SCO leaders’ summit this fall, reports Bloomberg’s Sudhi Ranjan Sen.

Chinese President Xi Jinping and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi visit Daci'en Temple in Xian, China in 2015. Photographer: ChinaFotoPress/ChinaFotoPress

It’s unlikely the specious camaraderie of past meetings between Modi and Xi will return. Wounds of recent border battles between the two countries were reopened earlier this year after China reportedly provided Pakistan with air defense and satellite support during its clash with India.

But the world’s second-largest economy is also India’s biggest source of industrial components and goods — a point driven home by the recent shortage of China-supplied rare earth magnets that threatened to disrupt India’s auto industry.

Here’s some wishful thinking for the second half of this mind-numbingly volatile year — that the two neighbors make “make trade not war” their motto.

Do you like the new layout for our Best of Bloomberg reading list? Write to me with suggestions on what other changes you’d like to see in the newsletter. Thanks for reading. — Menaka.

India Edition Last Week: Three Hard Questions for Indian Aviation After Deadly Crash

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