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With Trump's second presidency just hitting the 100 days mark, this week's Nir & Rupar featured data journalist G. Elliott Morris for a deep discussion about the president's tanking polling and what it means going forward. Beyond the toplines, we unpacked issue-specific polls and dug into the damage the reconciliation bill is likely to do to Republicans heading into 2026. I learned a lot from our conversation and think you will too. Check it out, and to support our work, please sign up for paid subscriptions to Public Notice and The Downballot. |
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On the latest edition of Nir & Rupar, our live weekly video show, David Nir of The Downballot and Aaron Rupar of Public Notice talk with data journalist G. Elliott Morris all about Trump’s sagging job approval ratings.
Elliott, who previously ran the seminal site 538, recently launched his own Substack, Strength In Numbers, which you can subscribe to here:
On the show, Elliott tells us:
Why history suggests Trump’s numbers could go much lower by the midterms—and could even put the Senate in play.
How nearly all data we rely on to understand politics—from polls to job reports—are based on estimates that are subject to error and can often change.
How Democrats have helped sink Trump’s popularity on the last issue that had been his strength, immigration.
And much more!
If you missed our livestream, you can watch it by clicking above! You can also find a complete transcript by clicking here and looking for the “Transcript” button.
Nir & Rupar goes live every Friday at 2 PM ET. The easiest way to participate is by downloading the free Substack app.
Folks who are paid subscribers to either of our publications can participate in our Q&A!
If you haven’t yet subscribed to Public Notice, which offers insightful and independent commentary on U.S. politics and media, click the button below:
And if you haven’t yet subscribed to The Downballot, which provides unparalleled coverage of the thousands of critical elections below the presidency, sign up below:
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